Free MLB Picks Tuesday June 6, 2023
This video will present 2 official MLB picks for Tuesday June 6, and also a lean that I’m considering adding as well.
First, let’s go back to yesterday. Boy, did we get unlucky or what? We took a shot on two big underdogs and both lost after taking a solid early lead.
The Royals took a 4-0 lead in Miami, but ended up losing 9-6. Come on, man! Then, the Oakland A’s grabbed a 3-0 lead, but came up short in a 5-4 defeat in Pittsburgh. That is so frustrating.
SYSTEM PICK #1: Tampa Bay Rays (@ -168 odds, vs Minnesota Twins)
Let’s rebound right away today, and I’m going to start strong with a betting tip which is recommended by the famous “Scoring Drought” betting system that has now produced 16 straight wins. Can you believe that?
First, let me remind you its rules, in case you missed previous posts. If the road team has lost its past two games by scoring two runs or fewer in each of those defeats, and their moneyline today is bigger than +150, then you must FADE them.
That being said, the Minnesota Twins are on the road today, they have lost their past two matches by scoring 1 and 2 runs, and their moneyline today is indeed a bit higher than +150.
So, by following the rules of this moneymaking strategy, we’ve got to FADE the Twins, which explains why today’s system pick number one goes to the Tampa Bay Rays.
It’s also good to know that Tampa holds an impressive 26-6 record at home, while the Twins have a negative record on the road this season.
On the mound, Louie Varland is set to face Zach Eflin. Varland has surprised many by providing a solid effort as the replacement in the rotation for Tyler Mahle who suffered an elbow injury earlier this year. He even shutout the Astros in seven strong innings in Houston in his last start. However, I don’t think it’s going to last, he could go through a bad outing in Tampa.
Zach Eflin has been great as season long as well, and he also posted great numbers last year so he has a longer history of success. His 1.00 WHIP statistic in 2023 is simply awesome!
Let’s go with the Rays and a 17th consecutive win by “The Scoring Drought” MLB system.
Final decision: Official pick
SYSTEM PICK #2: Seattle Mariners (@ +120 odds, at San Diego Padres)
I also have a lean on the Seattle Mariners who are underdogs in San Diego tonight. The Mariners are backed by “The Pummeled Pitchers” betting angle that recommends placing a wager on a road team that has allowed many runs recently. That is certainly the case of Seattle who squandered 12 and 16 runs in their latest two games. For more details about this great MLB betting strategy, I invite you to watch the video I made about this topic.
We have an outstanding pitching duel with Logan Gilbert against Joe Musgrove. Gilbert has a much better WHIP stat than Musgrove, but the latter has been better of late with just one earned run in his last 12 1/3 innings pitched against the Yankees and the Marlins.
To me, this should be an hard-fought game, so in that case I am always taking the underdog’s side. But I will only rate it as a lean because Musgrove has been rolling, while Logan Gilbert is coming off his worst outing of the year. I will be cautious by either placing a small bet, or staying away from it.
Final decision: Lean
SYSTEM PICK #3: A run to be scored in the 1st inning Giants-Rockies (@ -140 odds)
Let me give you a second official betting play for today: earlier this morning, I took a run to be scored in the first inning of the Giants versus Rockies game.
During San Francisco’s past 14 games, a run has been scored in the opening frame 9 times, a 64% success rate. If you turn your attention to Colorado’s past 24 home games, this bet has generated a 14-10 record, a 58% winning percentage.
Given the current odds and the projected starters, I believe this is a sound value wager. My statistical model also agrees based on the projected lineups.
Final decision: Official pick
This morning I shared two more betting tips to paid members at mjpicks.com, both on totals. You are always welcome to join this platform where we current have more than 600 subscribers. Thanks for reading this article my good friend!