FREE NBA PICKS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

 

 

Hi guys, tonight we’ve got a couple of games where the series is tied 2-2. Let’s have a look at the projections:

APRIL 26, 2017
	SPREAD		MONEY LINE
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Hawks	+5,5	+5,9	+209	+232	3,09	3,32		-5,7%
Wizards	-5,5	-5,9	-234	-232	1,43	1,43		-0,9%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Bulls	+7,5	+6,6	+281	+261	3,81	3,61		4,9%
Celtics	-7,5	-6,6	-320	-261	1,31	1,38		-9,7%
Tip: No value bet.

I don’t see any value in any of the games, but you could consider betting the Bulls if the line moves to +8. Rajon Rondo, who was instrumental in the Bulls’ two wins at the TD Garden, was initially ruled out of tonight’s game, but some reports are hinting he might attempt to play tonight despite breaking his right thumb in Game 2. I adjusted the projections accordingly: I deducted 2.5% to Chicago’s chances of winning the match. Even if he plays, he certainly won’t be 100%.

In the other series, the Hawks have regained momentum by winning their two home games after losing the first two in Washington. A few weeks ago I felt like the Wizards had a decent chance of reaching the NBA Finals. They went 12-4 in January. Then 7-3 in February. They started the month of March with a 6-1 record, and then things got tricky. They finished the season with an 8-9 record and are now 2-2 in the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Hawks also went through a difficult stretch in March, but at least they had an excuse: they missed Paul Millsap and Kent Bazemore for a while. These guys came back on the court and the team went 6-3 to close out the regular season (including two wins against Cleveland and one against Boston). Here is an interesting fact: Atlanta is now 0-4 in Washington in 2016-07 (including the postseason) but all games were pretty close as shown by the margins of victory: 3, 4, 7 and 8. If you forced me to bet this game, I would go with the Hawks +5.5 (or taking the money line).

Have a good day!

Professor MJ