NBA PICKS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

 

 

Two road teams are trying to close out their series in six games tonight. From a betting point of view, I’ve got one single play which is rated 1 star. Here are the day’s NBA projections:

APRIL 27, 2017
	SPREAD		MONEY LINE
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Raptors	+1,5	-0,1	+106	-102	2,06	1,98		3,4%
Bucks	-1,5	+0,1	-117	+102	1,85	2,02		-8,1%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Spurs	-4	-2,6	-177	-131	1,56	1,76		-13,9%
Grizzlies	+4	+2,6	+159	+131	2,59	2,31	X	9,1%
Tip: Bet the Grizzlies.

 

“PROCEED WITH CAUTION” BET (1 star / 5):

I’m betting the Grizzlies +4 against the Spurs. The home team has won the last 9 meetings between these two teams, so getting 4 points sounds nice here. Memphis holds a 6-3 record against the spread versus San Antonio over those last nine matchups. The Grizzlies were able to win both home games despite Kahwi Leonard averaging 30.5 points per game in Memphis. He has simply been amazing thus far in the series. He’s also 47/48 from the free throw line.

A few notes about the Raptors-Bucks game. Earlier in the series I picked the Raptors in both games played in Milwaukee. This time I’m staying away and if you asked me to pick a team I would go with the Bucks. First of all, Toronto beat the spread by 19 points in the previous game and you know I like to pick the opposing team in the next game. Especially at home where the Bucks will be desperate in front of their home fans while the Raptors may not feel as much urgency knowing they can always win Game 7 at Air Canada Centre. Also, I would like to thank “joel00” from Covers.com who did a little investigation after reading my claim that you should bet teams losing their previous playoff game by 12.5+ points against the spread (ATS). He found out that a team that (1) lost by more than 12 points ATS in the last game (2) is behind or tied in the series (3) is established as a favorite in the current game (spread -0.5 or more) is 70-43-1 against the spread. That’s an impressive 61.9% win percentage!

Have a good day!

Professor MJ