Free NBA Picks for May 16, 2017 by Professor MJ

FREE NBA PICKS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

 

After squandering a 25-point lead in Game 1 and losing their star player to an injury, the Spurs must try to find a way to bounce back tonight. Will they be able to do it? Let’s have a look at today’s projections:

 

MAY 16, 2017

 

SPREAD

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

Pinnacle

PROF. MJ

PICK

ROI

Spurs

+14

+12,8

+1102

+993

12,02

10,93

X

7,5%

Warriors

-14

-12,8

-1600

-993

1,06

1,10

 

-12,2%

Tip: Bet the Spurs.


“PROCEED WITH CAUTION” BET (1 star / 5):

I’m betting the Spurs +14 at the Warriors. For those of you who have been following me for a while, you know I prefer to go against the grain. So I wondered “if I asked someone on the street what he thinks of the Spurs-Warriors game, what is he most likely to respond?” I believe that person would mainly talk about Kawhi Leonard being injured and the nice Golden State comeback. That makes me lean towards San Antonio; it feels uncomfortable to bet them.

Here are highlights from Game 1:

It is also interesting to note that the Spurs were 6-2 against the spread this season with Leonard on the sidelines. Sure, they were badly outplayed when he left Game 1. But San Antonio did not have time to gameplan for his absence; now they do and who better than coach Gregg Popovich to do it? Plus he is very mad about how the injury occurred (“…makes me very, very angry.”, he said) so he will figure out a way to motivate his players.

It’s unclear whether Andre Iguodala can play tonight for the Warriors. He is dealing with a left knee injury and is considered a 50/50 call.

Enjoy the game!

Professor MJ