Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NBA Projections: 2017-02-14
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NBA DAILY PROJECTIONS
BY PROFESSOR MJ
February 14th, 2017
Hello fellow NBA fans from around the world!
I was extremely pleased when I got up this morning and realized my 5 stars “amazing” bet went extremely well: the Clippers actually beat the line by 24 points!! You don’t often see an 8-point underdog winning by 16 (not only that, but they were leading by 27 after 3 quarters so they probably slowed down after that).
There are only 3 games today. As of 2:30pm, no profitable bet, but keep your eyes on the Kings-Lakers line. Here are the full projections based on my 5 statistical models:
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FEBRUARY 14, 2017 |
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SPREAD |
MONEY LINE |
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BOOKMAKER |
PROF. MJ |
BOOKMAKER |
PROF. MJ |
BOOKMAKER |
PROF. MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Raptors |
-4.5 |
-4 |
-181 |
-167 |
1,55 |
1,60 |
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-3,0% |
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Bulls |
+4.5 |
+4 |
+163 |
+167 |
2,63 |
2,67 |
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-1,4% |
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Tip: Avoid betting this game. |
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Cavaliers |
-4 |
-4.5 |
-175 |
-184 |
1,57 |
1,54 |
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1,8% |
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Twolves |
+4 |
+4.5 |
+158 |
+184 |
2,58 |
2,84 |
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-9,2% |
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Tip: Avoid betting this game. |
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Kings |
+2 |
+3 |
+120 |
+142 |
2,20 |
2,42 |
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-9,1% |
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Lakers |
-2 |
-3 |
-132 |
-142 |
1,76 |
1,70 |
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3,1% |
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Tip: Avoid betting this game. Watch closely the line on the Lakers until game time. |
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We do have a positive ROI (Return On Investment) on the Lakers (3.1%), but we recommend avoiding placing a bet unless it goes higher than 5%. In terms of the money line, that means waiting until it goes to -126 or better (for those of you more familiar with decimal odds, I’m talking about 1.79 or more). As for the spread, you need something like Lakers -2 at +100 (decimal: 2.00) or -1.5 at -105 (decimal: 1.95).
THANK YOU very much for reading, I’ll be back tomorrow!
Professor MJ
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