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NBA DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

 

 

March 10^th, 2017

 

Good morning everyone! We raised our record on bets rated 3+ stars to 13-6-1 following yesterday’s couple of wins (Pistons +5.5 vs Cleveland and 76ers +9.5 in Portland). Unfortunately I don’t have any interesting value bets for tonight, which is surprising considering we have 8 games. At this time of writing the line on Boston-Denver is off the board, so this is our only chance to find something profitable. I will provide some guidelines below. For now, let’s have a look at today’s projections!

MARCH 10, 2017
	SPREAD		MONEY LINE
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Magic	+8	+8,6	+326	+379	4,26	4,79		-7,3%
Hornets	-8	-8,6	-375	-379	1,27	1,26		2,5%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Rockets	-4,5	-5,3	-193	-209	1,52	1,48		4,2%
Bulls	+4,5	+5,3	+173	+209	2,73	3,09		-8,9%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Pacers	+2,5	+3,4	+120	+153	2,20	2,53		-9,8%
Bucks	-2,5	-3,4	-133	-153	1,75	1,65		5,0%
Tip: You could consider betting the Bucks (follow guidelines below).
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Warriors	-5	-5,1	-202	-201	1,50	1,50		-1,6%
Twolves	+5	+5,1	+181	+201	2,81	3,01		-3,2%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Raptors	+2	+1,9	+114	+117	2,14	2,17		-1,6%
Hawks	-2	-1,9	-126	-117	1,79	1,85		-3,2%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Celtics	Off the board	-3,9	Off the board	-165	Off the board	1,61
Nuggets	Off the board	+3,9	Off the board	+165	Off the board	2,65
Tip: Line off the board, follow guidelines below.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Nets	+11,5	+10,9	+622	+635	7,22	7,35		2,5%
Mavs	-11,5	-10,9	-777	-635	1,13	1,16		-7,3%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	Pinnacle	PROF. MJ	PICK	ROI
Wizards	-8	-7,5	-357	-312	1,28	1,32		-6,5%
Kings	+8	+7,5	+311	+312	4,11	4,12		1,7%
Tip: No value bet.

 

As mentioned above, you could bet the Bucks -2.5 versus Indiana. If your own analyses indicate you should bet Milwaukee, then go ahead. If not, stay away from that game unless the spread moves to -2. In this case, I would recommend betting Milwaukee (1-star bet). The Pacers have been alternating wins and losses over the last 8 games: if the trend continues, they will lose tonight. Milwaukee is back in the playoff race after posting 4 straight wins, including nice games against the Clippers and the Raptors. This is the 3^rd meeting between these two teams this year. Both games were won by Milwaukee (125-107 in Milwaukee and 116-100 in Indiana).

My projections have the Celtics favorite by 3.9 points in Denver. On the Nuggets’ side, there are several injuries to note. Nikola Jokic is unlikely to play as he was still feeling very sick yesterday (he felt “very weak”). Their leading scorer Danilo Gallinari is questionable because he is dealing with vertigo. Even if he plays, he may be affected by it. Kenneth Faried is still out. The Celtics lost 2 straight games before rebounding nicely with a 99-86 win in Golden State. Hopefully it won’t be a letdown game for them. Boston has won their last two games in Denver.

That being said, here are my suggestions: bet the Nuggets if the spread is 5 or more, bet the Celtics if it is -2.5 or lower (maybe you could go for it if you can grab -3.0 at +100).

Cheers!

Professor MJ

www.professormj.com

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