Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NBA Projections: 2017-03-14
NBA DAILY PROJECTIONS
BY PROFESSOR MJ
March 14th, 2017
We have a fairly quiet night with only 5 games, but I still found 3 profitable bets, which are rated 3 stars, 2 stars and 1 star. Let’s have a look at the detailed projections:
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MARCH 14, 2017 |
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SPREAD |
MONEY LINE |
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Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Pistons |
+8 |
+6,2 |
+310 |
+243 |
4,10 |
3,43 |
X |
12,4% |
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Cavaliers |
-8 |
-6,2 |
-355 |
-243 |
1,28 |
1,41 |
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-17,1% |
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Tip: Bet the Pistons. |
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Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Thunder |
-6 |
-6,9 |
-241 |
-280 |
1,41 |
1,36 |
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4,9% |
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Nets |
+6 |
+6,9 |
+215 |
+280 |
3,15 |
3,80 |
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-9,8% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Pacers |
-3 |
-1,8 |
-155 |
-117 |
1,65 |
1,85 |
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-12,2% |
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Knicks |
+3 |
+1,8 |
+140 |
+117 |
2,40 |
2,17 |
X |
7,5% |
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Tip: Bet the Knicks. |
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Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Blazers |
+3,5 |
+5,1 |
+147 |
+201 |
2,47 |
3,01 |
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-15,5% |
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Pelicans |
-3,5 |
-5,1 |
-163 |
-201 |
1,61 |
1,50 |
X |
10,7% |
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Tip: Bet the Pelicans. |
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Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROF. MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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76ers |
+16,5 |
+16,2 |
+1665 |
+2728 |
17,65 |
28,28 |
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0,1% |
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Warriors |
-16,5 |
-16,2 |
-3000 |
-2728 |
1,03 |
1,04 |
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-4,8% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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“GOOD” BET (3 stars / 5):
Let’s kick off today’s picks with the Pistons +8 at Cleveland. As of 10am, 70% of the bets have gone on the Cavaliers, and yet the line moved in the opposite direction since it opened at 8.5 points and currently sits at 8. No later than 5 days ago I took Detroit +5.5 at home against those same Cavaliers as a 4-star bet (Detroit won the game 106-101). The Pistons have been playing well for a while now, having won 12 of their last 18 games. Meanwhile, the Cavs have lost 6 of 9. The injuries to Kyle Korver and Kevin Love may be catching on to them. The rest factor is also playing against Cleveland: they will be playing a third game in four nights, while Detroit is coming off two days’ rest.
“OKAY” BETS (2 stars / 5):
My next pick goes to the Pelicans -3.5 versus the Blazers. Just like the previous pick, I’m going with a team playing on two days’ rest (New Orleans) against another that will be on its 3rd match in 4 days. Sure, the Blazers have won 5 of their last 6 games, but who did they beat? The answer: Phoenix, Philadelphia, Oklahoma City (twice) and Brooklyn whose combined record is 95-169 (.360 win percentage). Prior to this nice 6-game stretch, they had faced some tougher competition and went 2-7. As for the Pelicans, I feel like things are finally starting to click since the acquisition of DeMarcus Cousins. They are 3-3 over their last six games and are coming off a nice overtime win in Charlotte. A few days ago, they almost beat the Spurs (lost in overtime). It’s worth noting that Portland has beaten New Orleans in 9 of the last 11 meetings, but I still like the Pelicans in this game.
“PROCEED WITH CAUTION” BET (1 star / 5):
I recommend New York +3 at Madison Square Garden against Indiana. This is the fourth meeting between these teams this year. New York won 2 of those contests (118-111 in NY and 109-103 in Indiana) and lost one (123-109 in Indiana). The Pacers are a difficult team to follow: they went on a 7-game winning streak just before dropping 6 straight. Since then, they have been alternating wins and losses over the last 9 games. If the trend continues, they should lose tonight. They don’t look the same on the road (11-22) and at home (23-10). New York is playing a third game in 4 nights (Indiana has had only one day off).
Good luck for tonight!
Professor MJ
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