Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-03-03

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NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

March 3rd, 2017

Hello fellow NHL fans from around the world!

We have 6 games on the menu tonight, and I see 2 value bets plus another one that you could consider betting. Here are today’s projections!

 

Date/time: MARCH 3, 2017

 

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Lightning

+143

+197

2,43

2,97

 

-18,2%

Penguins

-158

-197

1,63

1,51

X

8,3%

Tip: Bet the Penguins.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Coyotes

+220

+212

3,20

3,12

 

2,6%

Hurricanes

-247

-212

1,40

1,47

 

-4,5%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Blues

+107

+126

2,07

2,26

 

-8,4%

Jets

-118

-126

1,85

1,79

 

3,0%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Islanders

+164

+170

2,64

2,70

 

-2,2%

Blackhawks

-182

-170

1,55

1,59

 

-2,4%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Red Wings

+141

+212

2,41

3,12

 

-22,8%

Flames

-156

-212

1,64

1,47

X

11,5%

Tip: Bet the Flames.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Maple Leafs

+136

+114

2,36

2,14

X

10,3%

Ducks

-150

-114

1,67

1,88

 

-11,2%

Tip: Bet the Maple Leafs.

 

I definitely recommend the following 2 bets:

  • Bet the Flames -156 (decimal 1.64) vs Detroit. The Wings just traded their second highest scorer Thomas Vanek, while their fifth-best Gustav Nyquist will be serving the final game of a suspension. Also, starting goalie Mrazek has started the last 5 games, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they go with Jared Coreau whose numbers are significantly worse than Mrazek’s.
  • Take the Leafs at +136 (decimal 2.36) in Anaheim in their third and final game on the West Coast. After losing the first two games of this mini road trip, I expect the Leafs to come out hungry. Fatigue might come into play because of the back-to-back, while Anaheim is playing off their bye week. However, it has been well-documented how badly teams have done in their first game following their bye week. The Leafs have acquired Brian Boyle from Tampa. Backup goalie Curtis McElhinney will probably be in net for Toronto, but that doesn’t bother me at all considering his stats have been great.

You could bet the Penguins at -158 (decimal 1.63). The ROI of 8.3% tells me I should bet them, but I’m pretty worried about the fact that more than 80% of the bets have gone on Pittsburgh and yet the line is moving AGAINST them. I’ve been paying more attention to this phenomenon recently and it has paid off, so I prefer to be cautious here. Budaj will start his first game as a Lightning.

Please tell your gambling friends to join our Facebook group! Thanks a lot!

Professor MJ

www.professormj.com

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