Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-03-04
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NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS
BY PROFESSOR MJ
March 4th, 2017
Hello fellow NHL fans from around the world!
Most of the time I won’t post projections for weekend games, but this time you get a little bonus. With 10 games on Saturday, I see 5 profitable bets. Take advantage of the early lines (I’m looking forward to tracking lines to see if they move in my favor or not). Here are the full projections:
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Date/time: MARCH 4, 2017 |
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MONEY LINE |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Avalanche |
+195 |
+184 |
2,95 |
2,84 |
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3,9% |
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Jets |
-218 |
-184 |
1,46 |
1,54 |
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-5,5% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Devils |
+248 |
+210 |
3,48 |
3,10 |
X |
12,3% |
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Bruins |
-280 |
-210 |
1,36 |
1,48 |
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-8,1% |
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Tip: Bet the Devils. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Lightning |
-139 |
+111 |
1,72 |
2,11 |
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-18,5% |
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Sabres |
+126 |
-111 |
2,26 |
1,90 |
X |
18,9% |
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Tip: Bet the Sabres. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Blue Jackets |
-115 |
-126 |
1,87 |
1,79 |
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4,2% |
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Senators |
+105 |
+126 |
2,05 |
2,26 |
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-9,3% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Stars |
+129 |
+173 |
2,29 |
2,73 |
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-16,1% |
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Panthers |
-143 |
-173 |
1,70 |
1,58 |
X |
7,7% |
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Tip: Bet the Panthers |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Canadiens |
+113 |
+136 |
2,13 |
2,36 |
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-9,7% |
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Rangers |
-125 |
-136 |
1,80 |
1,74 |
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3,7% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Flyers |
+231 |
+274 |
3,31 |
3,74 |
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-11,5% |
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Capitals |
-260 |
-274 |
1,38 |
1,36 |
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1,4% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Blackhawks |
+111 |
+106 |
2,11 |
2,06 |
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2,4% |
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Predators |
-123 |
-106 |
1,81 |
1,94 |
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-6,7% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
|
Canucks |
+231 |
+188 |
3,31 |
2,88 |
X |
14,9% |
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Kings |
-260 |
-188 |
1,38 |
1,53 |
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-9,6% |
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Tip: Bet the Canucks. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Red Wings |
+185 |
+260 |
2,85 |
3,60 |
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-20,8% |
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Oilers |
-206 |
-260 |
1,49 |
1,38 |
X |
7,3% |
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Tip: Bet the Oilers. |
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The best value goes to Buffalo at +126 (decimal 2.26) vs Tampa. The Sabres are on a “normal” schedule, while the Lightning will be playing the second of back-to-back games (3rd in 4 nights, 4th in 6 nights). We will see how they do tonight in Pittsburgh, but they were lucky to beat Carolina at home the other day (outshot 18-4 in the first period, what happened there??). Tampa got rid of Brian Boyle and Filppula via trades. A source of concern for the Sabres is Kyle Okposo who did not return in the 3rd period of the last game, and he did not practice today. I still like the Sabres with such lines at home vs Tampa.
If you want to go with long-shot picks, I offer you two choices: Devils +248 (decimal 3.48) at Boston is the first one. Rask often gets a night off after playing 3 games in a row, which has been the case so I estimate Khudobin has a 70% chance of being the starter in this game (his numbers aren’t nearly as good as Rask’s). You could also go with Vancouver +231 (decimal 3.31) in Los Angeles. I don’t get these odds, yes the Kings have the better team, but they are still a mediocre team. People may be getting overexcited about the return of Jonathan Quick. But remember that Peter Budaj did an awesome job in his absence.
I also like the Panthers -143 (decimal 1.70) at home against the Stars. They have a much better team than Dallas, and they acquired Thomas Vanek. Roberto Luongo is hurt, but James Reimer has been just as solid (if not better) this season so no worries there.
Finally, I’m going with Edmonton at -206 (decimal 1.49) vs Detroit. I rarely pick such big favorites, but wow, this one looks appealing for several reasons. Detroit traded their second-best scorer Thomas Vanek. They will be playing the second of back-to-back games, while Edmonton got 3 days’ rest. And to top it all off, Jared Coreau has a high chance of starting in net since Mrazek is expected to start Friday night (which would be his sixth straight start). Coreau’s numbers have been bad.
Have a great weekend!!
Professor MJ
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