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NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

 

 

March 7^th, 2017

Hello fellow NHL fans from around the world!

I’m back projecting lines one day in advance to try to take advantage of favorable odds (hopefully!). I have four plays with an estimated ROI of 6%-8%, and one play which looks significantly more profitable with an estimated ROI of 11.3%. Let’s see the full projections:

MARCH 7, 2017
	MONEY LINE
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Red Wings	+153	+203	2,53	3,03		-16,5%
Maple Leafs	-170	-203	1,59	1,49	X	6,4%
Tip: Bet the Maple Leafs.
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Rangers	+110	-102	2,10	1,98	X	6,0%
Panthers	-121	+102	1,83	2,02		-9,6%
Tip: Bet the Rangers.
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Flyers	+103	-113	2,03	1,88	X	7,7%
Sabres	-114	+113	1,88	2,13		-11,9%
Tip: Bet the Flyers.
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Blues	+145	+219	2,45	3,19		-23,2%
Wild	-161	-219	1,62	1,46	X	11,3%
Tip: Bet the Wild.
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Hurricanes	-150	-158	1,67	1,63		2,1%
Avalanche	+136	+158	2,36	2,58		-8,5%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Islanders	+136	+173	2,36	2,73		-13,6%
Oilers	-150	-173	1,67	1,58	X	5,6%
Tip: Bet the Oilers.
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Canadiens	-160	-171	1,63	1,58		2,5%
Canucks	+144	+171	2,44	2,71		-10,0%
Tip: No value bet.
	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	Pinnacle	PROFESSOR MJ	PICK	ROI
Predators	+109	+104	2,09	2,04		2,5%
Ducks	-120	-104	1,83	1,96		-6,5%
Tip: No value bet.

 

My favorite pick of the day has to go with the Wild at -161 (decimal 1.62) at home against the Blues. The home team has won the last 4 meetings between these two teams, including 5-1 and 3-1 wins by the Wild in Minnesota this season. The projections even took into account the possibility of Darcy Kuemper getting the start. He has been posting much weaker numbers than starter Devan Dubnyk, so this bet would be even better if Dubnyk gets the call.

I’m taking the Leafs at -170 (decimal 1.59) at home versus Detroit. The Wings are playing the first of back-to-back games: they might turn to backup goalie Jared Coreau considering Mrazek has started the last 7 games (the projections were made assuming a 50/50 chance). Gustav Nyquist missed practice Monday because of stomach bug, so he’s fairly likely to be out for that game.

For the second night in a row, I’m going with the Rangers, this time +110 (decimal 2.10) in Florida. Henrik Lundqvist should start since Raanta will be in net Monday night. I deducted 5% to New York’s chances of winning to account for the fatigue factor (second of back-to-back games), but we still get a value bet here.

I recommend the Flyers +103 (decimal 2.03) in Buffalo. It will be the Sabres third game in 4 nights and they will be without their second leading scorer Kyle Okposo. The last 4 meetings between Philadelphia and Buffalo have been won by the home team. Prior to that streak, the road team had won 4 in a row!

The last pick goes to Edmonton -150 (decimal 1.67) versus the Islanders. The Oilers have played only one game over the last 6 days, so they will be well-rested, while the Islanders will be playing a 4^th game in 6 nights. The home team has won 9 of the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

Good luck!

Professor MJ

www.professormj.com

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