Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-03-13

Click here for the PDF version of the following article.

NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

 

March 13th, 2017

Hello fellow NHL fans from around the world!

Surprisingly we only have 1 profitable bet out of 8 games today. However, you should keep track of the line on 4 additional games: you will find some guidelines below about how to proceed on those matches. Let’s have a look at the full projections for today:

 

MARCH 13, 2017

 

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Lightning

+119

+144

2,19

2,44

 

-10,2%

Rangers

-131

-144

1,76

1,69

 

4,1%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Blue Jackets

-126

-130

1,79

1,77

 

1,4%

Flyers

+114

+130

2,14

2,30

 

-7,0%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Hurricanes

+109

+122

2,09

2,22

 

-5,9%

Islanders

-120

-122

1,83

1,82

 

0,8%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Jets

+141

+153

2,41

2,53

 

-4,7%

Predators

-156

-153

1,64

1,65

 

-0,8%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Penguins

-108

+125

1,93

2,25

 

-14,4%

Flames

-102

-125

1,98

1,80

X

10,0%

Tip: Bet the Flames.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Bruins

-209

-179

1,48

1,56

 

-5,1%

Canucks

+187

+179

2,87

2,79

 

2,9%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Avalanche

+112

+130

2,12

2,30

 

-7,8%

Coyotes

-124

-130

1,81

1,77

 

2,1%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Blues

+149

+152

2,49

2,52

 

-1,2%

Kings

-165

-152

1,61

1,66

 

-3,1%

Tip: No value bet.

 

The only value bet as of now is Calgary at -102 (decimal odds 1.98) versus Pittsburgh. The Penguins have to deal with several injuries: Carl Hagelin, Matt Cullen, Patric Hornqvist, Kris Letang, Trevor Daley and Olli Maatta. It is possible that some of them may play tonight, but the general health situation isn’t very good for the Pens. I’m surprised they have decided to send Marc-Andre Fleury in net, especially with Murray just recording a shutout in Vancouver. Murray has been the better of the two goalies by far this season, and Fleury will be facing a Calgary squad that has won its last 9 contests. Pittsburgh has a 5-game winning streak of its own, but I’m afraid the injury bug will catch on to them. The only meeting between the two teams this season went to Calgary by a 3-2 score in Pittsburgh. It’s interesting to note that Pittsburgh had beaten Calgary 9 straight times, but have then lost the last 3 matchups. The line opened with Pittsburgh as the favorite, but has switched to Calgary despite most bets from the public going on Pittsburgh.

As mentioned in the introduction, here are 4 games where you could end up betting if you follow the line movement until game time:

  • Bet the Rangers against Tampa if the line moves to -127 (decimal odds 1.79) or higher.
  • Bet the Blue Jackets in Philly if the line moves to -115 (decimal odds 1.87) or higher.
  • Bet the Canucks versus Boston if the line moves to +195 (decimal odds 2.95) or higher.
  • Bet the Coyotes versus Colorado if the line moves to -115 (decimal odds 1.87) or higher.

 

Thanks for reading and have a great Monday!

Professor MJ

www.professormj.com

Come join my Facebook group! https://www.facebook.com/groups/ProfessorMJ/