Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-03-15
NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS
BY PROFESSOR MJ
March 15th, 2017
Hello fellow NHL fans from around the world!
Today I have 2 profitable bets for you, one of which I’m pretty upset that I didn’t make my projections earlier because we missed on great value. Let’s dive into the details right away:
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MARCH 15, 2017 |
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MONEY LINE |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Penguins |
-133 |
-145 |
1,75 |
1,69 |
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3,7% |
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Flyers |
+120 |
+145 |
2,20 |
2,45 |
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-10,2% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Bruins |
-105 |
+122 |
1,95 |
2,22 |
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-12,1% |
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Flames |
-105 |
-122 |
1,95 |
1,82 |
X |
7,3% |
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Tip: Bet the Flames. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Red Wings |
-130 |
+102 |
1,77 |
2,02 |
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-12,4% |
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Avalanche |
+118 |
-102 |
2,18 |
1,98 |
X |
10,1% |
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Tip: Bet the Avalanche. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Blues |
+118 |
+127 |
2,18 |
2,27 |
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-4,0% |
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Ducks |
-130 |
-127 |
1,77 |
1,79 |
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-1,0% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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First, I suggest taking the Avalanche at +118 (decimal 2.18) versus Detroit. Man did we miss on great value, as the line opened at +144. It went down to around +130 earlier this morning and now +118. With my projections having the Avalanche a 50/50 proposition to win the game, I still recommend taking them but it’s a bittersweet feeling. Calvin Pickard has been confirmed as Colorado’s starter tonight. He has won 12 of his 37 starts for a 32.4% win percentage, which is 4% higher than the team’s 27.9% overall win percentage. Strangely enough, the road team has won the last 7 meetings (Detroit has won the last 4 in Colorado), so I’m hoping the trends are not representative of tonight’s matchup. The Wings have only won a single game out of their last 6. As for Colorado, they went on a 2-game winning streak before losing the next two. At this time of writing, 71% of the bets have gone on Detroit, and yet the line moved heavily in favor of Colorado. Do we smell sharp money backing up the Avalanche?
What an interesting matchup: two very hot teams face each other at the Scotiabank Saddledome as the Flames host the Bruins. My pick goes to the Flames at -105 (decimal 1.95) against Boston. On one side, you have Boston who has won 11 of their 14 games since firing Claude Julien. On the other, you’ve got Calgary who is riding a team-record 10-game winning streak. Anton Khudobin has been named the starter for Boston. Here are some interesting numbers: Rask has won 33 of 55 starts which corresponds to a 60% win percentage, versus 4/14 = 28.6% for the other 3 goalies. That’s very bad news for the Bruins. I’m glad Rask isn’t starting because he has a 4-0-3 record (including 2 shutouts) against Calgary! Between the years 2010 to 2013, the Bruins went on a 5-game winning streak against Calgary. Since then, the Flames have beaten Boston on 4 occasions out of 5 matchups.
Good luck on your plays!!
Professor MJ
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