Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-03-17
NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS
BY PROFESSOR MJ
March 17th, 2017
Hello fellow NHL fans from around the world!
After taking Thursday off on my NHL projections because I had to take care of some things I had been putting away for a while, I’m back for tonight’s four games. I have two value bets for you:
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MARCH 17, 2017 |
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MONEY LINE |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Panthers |
+158 |
+181 |
2,58 |
2,81 |
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-8,2% |
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Rangers |
-175 |
-181 |
1,57 |
1,55 |
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1,2% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Devils |
+227 |
+207 |
3,27 |
3,07 |
X |
6,5% |
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Penguins |
-255 |
-207 |
1,39 |
1,48 |
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-6,1% |
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Tip: Bet the Devils. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Stars |
+182 |
+239 |
2,82 |
3,39 |
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-16,8% |
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Flames |
-203 |
-239 |
1,49 |
1,42 |
X |
5,2% |
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Tip: Bet the Flames. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Sabres |
+188 |
+218 |
2,88 |
3,18 |
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-9,4% |
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Ducks |
-210 |
-218 |
1,48 |
1,46 |
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1,2% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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I recommend taking a shot on the Devils at +227 (decimal 3.27) in Pittsburgh. At first, my projections were in line with the odds, but then the news came that Evgeni Malkin was going to miss the game and the line hasn’t moved! I updated each team’s win probability and it turns out New Jersey is now a profitable bet. Needless to say Pittsburgh has been plagued by a rash of injuries: Hagelin, Letang, Hornqvist, Daley, Maatta and more recently Ron Hainsey who will be out at least a week. The Penguins kept playing at a high level despite the injuries, but they have now lost 2 straight. Of course they are still more likely to win than the Devils, but with such odds I’m willing to gamble. You should also be aware that New Jersey is playing a second game in as many nights. Pittsburgh has beaten the Devils all three times this season (including two at home: 4-1 and 4-3 in extra time).
I’m going in a totally opposite direction by picking a heavy favorite: I like the Flames at -203 (decimal 1.49) versus Dallas. The Stars played last night and won 4-2 in Vancouver, but they might have lost their star player Jamie Benn. His status for tonight is unknown. Niemi is likely to be the starter with Lehtonen playing yesterday, which isn’t good news for Stars’ fans. Meanwhile, Brian Elliott has been confirmed as the starter for Calgary. His numbers over the past 9 games are jaw-dropping: 9 wins, 1.74 GAA and a 94.3% save percentage. Prior to last night’s win, the Stars went through a difficult three game stretch where they lost all of those games by a combined 17-4 score. Ouch. Let’s see if the Flames can rebound after seeing their 10-game winning streak snapped two days ago against Boston.
Good luck on your bets!
Professor MJ
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