Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-03-20
NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS
BY PROFESSOR MJ
Hello all, I hope you had a great weekend, the weather was awesome here in Quebec City!
We kick off the week with 2 value bets, including one I like a lot. Let’s see if it agrees with your own analyses, as usual I did my best to bring some insight to you. Here are the day’s projections:
MARCH 20, 2017 |
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MONEY LINE |
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|
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
Bruins |
-117 |
-105 |
1,85 |
1,95 |
|
-5,0% |
Maple Leafs |
+106 |
+105 |
2,06 |
2,05 |
|
0,5% |
Tip: No value bet. |
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|
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
Sabres |
+144 |
+123 |
2,44 |
2,23 |
X |
9,4% |
Red Wings |
-160 |
-123 |
1,63 |
1,81 |
|
-10,4% |
Tip: Bet the Sabres. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
Coyotes |
+222 |
+233 |
3,22 |
3,33 |
|
-3,3% |
Predators |
-250 |
-233 |
1,40 |
1,43 |
|
-2,0% |
Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
Sharks |
-140 |
-150 |
1,71 |
1,67 |
|
2,9% |
Stars |
+127 |
+150 |
2,27 |
2,50 |
|
-9,2% |
Tip: No value bet (keep track of the line on the Sharks). |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
Kings |
+115 |
+160 |
2,15 |
2,60 |
|
-17,3% |
Oilers |
-127 |
-160 |
1,79 |
1,63 |
X |
10,0% |
Tip: Bet the Oilers. |
I especially like Edmonton -127 (decimal 1.79) against Los Angeles. The Oilers have the better record. They have won 3 straight. And the Kings are playing a second game in as many nights. What’s not to like? Now, how has the season series been? The Kings won 4-2 at home, while McDavid’s squad got revenge 3-1 at home. It’s worth mentioning that Los Angeles had beaten Edmonton on 6 straight occasions prior to that 3-1 game last December. Cam Talbot has now started the last 11 Oilers’ games, but I’m hopeful he will be the starter again since the Oilers are looking at back-to-back games next Wednesday and Thursday (Brossoit should get the call in one of those).
I’m switching to an underdog: I recommend betting Buffalo +144 (decimal 2.44) in Detroit. Both teams have several injured players, but none that has a great impact, except Kyle Okposo for Buffalo (their third-highest scorer). The Sabres are 2-0-1 against the Wings this year, including a 4-3 regulation win in Detroit on December 27. Buffalo went on a 3-game winning streak, but have dropped 10 of their last 13 games. As for Detroit, they lost 4 straight before winning 3 of their last 5 contests. They haven’t faced tough opponents recently, as they played Colorado twice, and Arizona (the two worst teams in the NHL).
I would like to end this report by suggesting to bet the Sharks in Dallas if the line moves to -133 (decimal 1.75) or higher during the day.
Have a good Monday!
Professor MJ
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