Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-03-20

NHL DAILY PROJECTIONS

BY PROFESSOR MJ

University Professor. PhD in stats. Proud dad of 2 boys.

 

 

Hello all, I hope you had a great weekend, the weather was awesome here in Quebec City!

We kick off the week with 2 value bets, including one I like a lot. Let’s see if it agrees with your own analyses, as usual I did my best to bring some insight to you. Here are the day’s projections:

  

MARCH 20, 2017

 

MONEY LINE

 

 

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Bruins

-117

-105

1,85

1,95

 

-5,0%

Maple Leafs

+106

+105

2,06

2,05

 

0,5%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Sabres

+144

+123

2,44

2,23

X

9,4%

Red Wings

-160

-123

1,63

1,81

 

-10,4%

Tip: Bet the Sabres.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Coyotes

+222

+233

3,22

3,33

 

-3,3%

Predators

-250

-233

1,40

1,43

 

-2,0%

Tip: No value bet.

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Sharks

-140

-150

1,71

1,67

 

2,9%

Stars

+127

+150

2,27

2,50

 

-9,2%

Tip: No value bet (keep track of the line on the Sharks).

 

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

Pinnacle

PROFESSOR MJ

PICK

ROI

Kings

+115

+160

2,15

2,60

 

-17,3%

Oilers

-127

-160

1,79

1,63

X

10,0%

Tip: Bet the Oilers.

 

I especially like Edmonton -127 (decimal 1.79) against Los Angeles. The Oilers have the better record. They have won 3 straight. And the Kings are playing a second game in as many nights. What’s not to like? Now, how has the season series been? The Kings won 4-2 at home, while McDavid’s squad got revenge 3-1 at home. It’s worth mentioning that Los Angeles had beaten Edmonton on 6 straight occasions prior to that 3-1 game last December. Cam Talbot has now started the last 11 Oilers’ games, but I’m hopeful he will be the starter again since the Oilers are looking at back-to-back games next Wednesday and Thursday (Brossoit should get the call in one of those).

I’m switching to an underdog: I recommend betting Buffalo +144 (decimal 2.44) in Detroit. Both teams have several injured players, but none that has a great impact, except Kyle Okposo for Buffalo (their third-highest scorer). The Sabres are 2-0-1 against the Wings this year, including a 4-3 regulation win in Detroit on December 27. Buffalo went on a 3-game winning streak, but have dropped 10 of their last 13 games. As for Detroit, they lost 4 straight before winning 3 of their last 5 contests. They haven’t faced tough opponents recently, as they played Colorado twice, and Arizona (the two worst teams in the NHL).

I would like to end this report by suggesting to bet the Sharks in Dallas if the line moves to -133 (decimal 1.75) or higher during the day.

Have a good Monday!

Professor MJ

www.professormj.com

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