Professor MJ's Daily Pregame NHL Projections: 2017-03-28
NHL PROJECTIONS
BY PROFESSOR MJ
On the menu tonight we have 11 NHL games. I’ve got 4 profitable bets to propose and a couple more where you may want to keep an eye on the line until puck drop. Let’s see the details!
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MARCH 28, 2017 |
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MONEY LINE |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Jets |
-105 |
-113 |
1,95 |
1,88 |
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3,6% |
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Devils |
-105 |
+113 |
1,95 |
2,13 |
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-8,3% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Predators |
+150 |
+158 |
2,50 |
2,58 |
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-3,1% |
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Bruins |
-166 |
-158 |
1,60 |
1,63 |
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-1,9% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Senators |
+112 |
-121 |
2,12 |
1,83 |
X |
16,1% |
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Flyers |
-124 |
+121 |
1,81 |
2,21 |
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-18,3% |
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Tip: Bet the Senators. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Red Wings |
+175 |
+155 |
2,75 |
2,55 |
X |
7,8% |
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Hurricanes |
-195 |
-155 |
1,51 |
1,65 |
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-8,0% |
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Tip: Bet the Red Wings. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Sabres |
+196 |
+202 |
2,96 |
3,02 |
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-2,0% |
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Blue Jackets |
-219 |
-202 |
1,46 |
1,50 |
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-2,6% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Panthers |
+134 |
+122 |
2,34 |
2,22 |
X |
5,4% |
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Maple Leafs |
-148 |
-122 |
1,68 |
1,82 |
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-7,9% |
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Tip: Bet the Panthers. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Stars |
+166 |
+208 |
2,66 |
3,08 |
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-13,6% |
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Canadiens |
-184 |
-208 |
1,54 |
1,48 |
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4,2% |
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Tip: No value bet (keep track of the line on the Canadiens). |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Capitals |
-106 |
-103 |
1,94 |
1,97 |
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-1,4% |
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Wild |
-104 |
+103 |
1,96 |
2,03 |
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-3,4% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Kings |
+112 |
+138 |
2,12 |
2,38 |
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-10,9% |
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Oilers |
-124 |
-138 |
1,81 |
1,72 |
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4,7% |
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Tip: No value bet (keep track of the line on the Oilers). |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Ducks |
-181 |
-160 |
1,55 |
1,63 |
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-4,5% |
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Canucks |
+163 |
+160 |
2,63 |
2,60 |
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1,2% |
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Tip: No value bet. |
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Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
Pinnacle |
PROFESSOR MJ |
PICK |
ROI |
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Rangers |
+118 |
+107 |
2,18 |
2,07 |
X |
5,3% |
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Sharks |
-130 |
-107 |
1,77 |
1,93 |
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-8,5% |
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Tip: Bet the Rangers. |
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My first suggestion is to bet the Senators at +112 (decimal 2.12) in Philadelphia. The Flyers are coming off an emotional 6-2 win over their archrivals, the Pittsburgh Penguins. I’m always worried about the level of intensity that will be displayed by a team playing in such circumstances in their next game. Philly has been alternating wins and losses in their last 8 contests, so if the trend continues they should lose tonight (not sure if it really has an impact, but I’m just mentioning the fact for fun!). Ottawa benefited from an additional day of rest. In the previous two meetings this season, each team won on the road in extra time. In fact, the Sens have won in Philadelphia in two of their last 3 visits there. The Flyers won 10 straight games in December, but have posted the second-worst record in the NHL since then!!
My next tip is to bet the Red Wings at +175 (decimal 2.75) in Carolina. Even though both teams are likely to miss the playoffs, they have been playing great hockey of late. The Wings have won 5 of their last 7 matches with both losses ending by a 2-1 mark. Their last 4 games have gone in extra time with Andreas Athanasiou scoring the winning goal in overtime in the last 2 games! The Hurricanes are also doing great, as shown by their 7-0-4 record over their last 11 games. Ironically, their last regulation loss came against the worst team in the league, the Colorado Avalanche (a 3-1 loss exactly three weeks ago). The Wings won this season’s two previous meetings, including last night’s 4-3 overtime win. We are going to witness a rare phenomenon as Detroit will be playing a 3rd game in 3 nights. This fact was, of course, accounted for in my projections.
Next up I’ve got the Panthers at +134 (decimal 2.34) in Toronto. We are observing a “reverse line movement” on this game, which is something I really like to see when I bet on a certain team. More specifically, more than 70% of the bets have gone on the Leafs, and yet the line has moved in the opposite direction. I smell sharp money backing Florida. Curtis McElhinney will be in net for Toronto. The Panthers have lost their last two games at Air Canada Centre, but they had won 7 of the previous 9 before that.
Here we go with a fourth underdog by picking the Rangers at +118 (decimal 2.18) in San Jose. What’s up with the Sharks? The numbers are jaw-dropping: six straight losses by a combined 23-7 score (what??? 7 goals scored in 6 games?), including getting blown up in their last two matches (7-2 and 6-1). Things won’t get any easier by playing a tough Rangers squad without Logan Couture who lost several teeth when he was hit by the puck a few days ago. It’s unclear whether Marc-Edouard Vlasic will be able to suit up or not tonight.
Have fun watching the games and we’ll talk again tomorrow!
Professor MJ